H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Abandoned Hospital ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly considering that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now recommending that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and exceptionally powerful cyclone that caused massive destruction and significant loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are anticipated in a few of these locations. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has set off typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to typhoon professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists formerly cautioned typhoons could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe risks and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy